Predicted scoreConfident
Maryland
17.6
Nebraska
35.4
Nebraska win probability: 87%
Margin (Nebraska − Maryland): 17.8 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 76)
Actual: Maryland 23 – Nebraska 48 (margin error 7.2, total error 17.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:07 PM | 6.7 | 50.4 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:09 PM | 6.7 | 50.4 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:21 PM | 6.7 | 50.4 | 66% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:45:46 AM | 6.7 | 50.4 | 66% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:56 PM | 6.7 | 50.4 | 66% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:59:32 PM | 6.6 | 50.6 | 66% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:53:54 PM | 9.7 | 51.8 | 73% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:57:14 PM | 8.8 | 53.3 | 71% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:38:35 PM | 8.8 | 53.3 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:58:14 AM | 8.8 | 53.3 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:36:27 PM | 8.8 | 53.3 | 71% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:30:32 PM | 17.8 | 53.1 | 87% |