2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Folsom Field
Texas Tech @ Colorado
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas Tech
29.9
Colorado
19.1
Colorado win probability: 24%
Margin (Colorado − Texas Tech): -10.8 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:01 PM | -10.8 | 49.0 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:12 PM | -10.8 | 49.0 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:28 PM | -10.8 | 49.0 | 24% |