2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 11:30 PM · Gesa Field
Arizona @ Washington State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona
26.6
Washington State
25.8
Washington State win probability: 48%
Margin (Washington State − Arizona): -0.9 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:58 PM | -0.8 | 52.4 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:02 PM | -0.9 | 52.5 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:12 PM | -0.9 | 52.4 | 48% |