Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas A&M
24.2
LSU
22.4
LSU win probability: 45%
Margin (LSU − Texas A&M): -1.7 (80% range -21 to 17)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 26 to 69)
Actual: Texas A&M 6 – LSU 35 (margin error 30.7, total error 5.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:50 PM | -2.9 | 51.4 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:52 PM | -2.9 | 51.5 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:42 PM | -2.8 | 51.4 | 43% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:45:14 AM | -2.8 | 51.4 | 43% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:39 PM | -2.6 | 51.5 | 44% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:59:04 PM | -3.5 | 50.9 | 41% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:52:52 PM | -1.8 | 48.4 | 45% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:30 PM | -1.7 | 46.6 | 45% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:37:58 PM | -1.7 | 46.6 | 45% |