2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreLean
Oklahoma State
24.6
West Virginia
31.3
West Virginia win probability: 66%
Margin (West Virginia − Oklahoma State): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 55.9 (80% range 32 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:58 PM | 6.7 | 55.8 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:50 PM | 6.7 | 55.8 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:56 PM | 6.7 | 55.9 | 66% |