2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:00 AM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Vanderbilt @ Auburn
Predicted scoreToss-up
Vanderbilt
27.8
Auburn
25.5
Auburn win probability: 44%
Margin (Auburn − Vanderbilt): -2.3 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 30 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:45 PM | -2.2 | 53.1 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:53 PM | -2.1 | 53.3 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:48 PM | -2.3 | 53.2 | 44% |