Predicted scoreLean
Ole Miss
30.6
Florida
23.9
Florida win probability: 34%
Margin (Florida − Ole Miss): -6.7 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:47 PM | -6.9 | 54.4 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:52 PM | -6.8 | 54.4 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:44 PM | -6.7 | 54.6 | 34% |