Predicted scoreToss-up
UCLA
24.4
Maryland
27.8
Maryland win probability: 59%
Margin (Maryland − UCLA): 3.4 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:51 PM | 3.5 | 52.4 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:56 PM | 3.3 | 52.4 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:54 PM | 3.4 | 52.1 | 59% |