Predicted scoreLean
Oklahoma
20.3
Georgia
28.1
Georgia win probability: 69%
Margin (Georgia − Oklahoma): 7.8 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 48.4 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Oklahoma 13 – Georgia 41 (margin error 20.2, total error 5.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:48 PM | 8.6 | 49.9 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:52 PM | 8.5 | 49.6 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:44 PM | 8.6 | 49.6 | 71% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:45:22 AM | 8.5 | 49.5 | 71% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:34 PM | 8.5 | 49.6 | 71% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:59:06 PM | 8.4 | 49.6 | 71% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:52:51 PM | 4.9 | 49.2 | 62% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:30 PM | 7.4 | 48.2 | 68% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:38:07 PM | 7.8 | 48.4 | 69% |