2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 11:30 PM · Canvas Stadium
BYU @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreLikely
BYU
34.0
Colorado State
18.9
Colorado State win probability: 17%
Margin (Colorado State − BYU): -15.1 (80% range -35 to 4)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 31 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:32 PM | -15.2 | 53.0 | 17% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:46 PM | -15.3 | 53.2 | 17% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:26 PM | -15.1 | 52.9 | 17% |