2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 11:30 PM · SECU Stadium
Virginia Tech @ Maryland
Predicted scoreToss-up
Virginia Tech
26.4
Maryland
27.8
Maryland win probability: 54%
Margin (Maryland − Virginia Tech): 1.5 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:35 PM | 1.6 | 54.4 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:45 PM | 1.6 | 54.5 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:25 PM | 1.5 | 54.2 | 54% |