Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida
26.4
Auburn
24.5
Auburn win probability: 46%
Margin (Auburn − Florida): -1.8 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Florida 44 – Auburn 39 (margin error 3.2, total error 32.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:31 PM | 3.2 | 49.0 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:43 PM | 3.3 | 48.8 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:22 PM | 3.1 | 48.8 | 58% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:44:15 AM | 3.2 | 48.7 | 58% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:19 PM | 3.2 | 48.8 | 58% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:58:21 PM | 3.4 | 48.2 | 59% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:52:32 PM | -1.3 | 50.7 | 46% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:19 PM | -1.8 | 50.9 | 46% |