2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 8:00 PM · McLane Stadium
Louisiana Tech @ Baylor
Predicted scoreLikely
Louisiana Tech
20.2
Baylor
33.6
Baylor win probability: 80%
Margin (Baylor − Louisiana Tech): 13.4 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:31 PM | 13.5 | 53.7 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:41 PM | 13.4 | 53.8 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:13 PM | 13.4 | 53.8 | 80% |