2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 7:30 PM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Utah State @ Utah
Predicted scoreConfident
Utah State
18.3
Utah
37.2
Utah win probability: 88%
Margin (Utah − Utah State): 18.9 (80% range -1 to 40)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.62% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.62% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:43 PM | 18.9 | 55.4 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:39 PM | 19.0 | 55.4 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:09 PM | 18.9 | 55.5 | 88% |