2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM · Wembley Stadium (neutral site)
Arizona State @ Kansas
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona State
28.3
Kansas
28.3
Kansas win probability: 50%
Margin (Kansas − Arizona State): -0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:34 PM | 0.1 | 56.3 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:37 PM | 0.3 | 56.6 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:59 PM | -0.0 | 56.5 | 50% |