2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 PM · Delaware Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ Delaware
Predicted scoreLean
Coastal Carolina
21.7
Delaware
26.4
Delaware win probability: 62%
Margin (Delaware − Coastal Carolina): 4.7 (80% range -14 to 24)
Total: 48.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Coastal Carolina 14 – Delaware 22 (margin error 3.3, total error 12.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:44 PM | 2.2 | 50.4 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:35 PM | 2.1 | 50.4 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:57 PM | 2.2 | 50.4 | 56% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:44:31 AM | 2.1 | 50.4 | 55% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:21 PM | 2.0 | 50.5 | 55% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:58:29 PM | 1.5 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:52:09 PM | 0.2 | 50.1 | 50% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:00 PM | 4.7 | 48.1 | 62% |