2026 Week 3 · Sep 18, 2026, 11:30 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Miami @ Wake Forest
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami
31.3
Wake Forest
19.3
Wake Forest win probability: 22%
Margin (Wake Forest − Miami): -12.0 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:43 PM | -12.1 | 50.6 | 22% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:35 PM | -12.0 | 50.4 | 22% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:55 PM | -12.0 | 50.6 | 22% |