2026 Week 3 · Sep 17, 2026, 11:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLikely
Syracuse
19.7
Pittsburgh
32.2
Pittsburgh win probability: 79%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Syracuse): 12.5 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:38 PM | 12.3 | 52.0 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:35 PM | 12.5 | 51.9 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:54 PM | 12.5 | 51.9 | 79% |