2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:30 PM · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Louisiana Tech @ LSU
Predicted scoreConfident
Louisiana Tech
11.4
LSU
36.6
LSU win probability: 95%
Margin (LSU − Louisiana Tech): 25.2 (80% range 6 to 45)
Total: 48.1 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Louisiana Tech 14 – LSU 45 (margin error 5.8, total error 10.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 1.08% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.93% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.93% |
| 0 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.89% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:23 PM | 17.1 | 48.2 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:33 PM | 17.0 | 48.2 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:48 PM | 17.4 | 48.3 | 87% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:44:05 AM | 16.9 | 48.1 | 87% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:01:54 PM | 17.8 | 48.3 | 88% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:31 PM | 17.2 | 48.2 | 87% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:41 PM | 25.2 | 48.1 | 95% |