2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 8:15 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Delaware @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreConfident
Delaware
12.8
Vanderbilt
43.1
Vanderbilt win probability: 97%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Delaware): 30.3 (80% range 10 to 52)
Total: 55.9 (80% range 34 to 80)
Actual: Delaware 26 – Vanderbilt 35 (margin error 21.3, total error 5.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 0.90% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.90% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.87% |
| 10 | 42 | 0.86% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:29 PM | 27.6 | 56.3 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:29 PM | 27.6 | 56.4 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:37 PM | 27.5 | 56.2 | 96% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:53 AM | 27.6 | 56.4 | 96% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:07 PM | 28.1 | 56.2 | 96% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:57 PM | 28.3 | 55.8 | 96% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:32 PM | 30.3 | 55.9 | 97% |