2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM · Husky Stadium
Utah State @ Washington
Predicted scoreLikely
Utah State
18.3
Washington
32.8
Washington win probability: 82%
Margin (Washington − Utah State): 14.5 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Utah State 14 – Washington 16 (margin error 12.5, total error 21.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:30 PM | 16.7 | 52.6 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:28 PM | 16.7 | 52.4 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:36 PM | 16.7 | 52.3 | 86% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:51 AM | 16.8 | 52.2 | 86% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:05 PM | 16.8 | 52.3 | 86% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:51 PM | 16.2 | 52.0 | 85% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:31 PM | 14.5 | 51.1 | 82% |