Predicted scoreLean
Arizona
23.7
BYU
28.2
BYU win probability: 61%
Margin (BYU − Arizona): 4.5 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:19 PM | 4.5 | 51.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:26 PM | 4.5 | 51.9 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:29 PM | 4.5 | 51.9 | 61% |