2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Washington State @ Kansas State
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington State
20.9
Kansas State
30.0
Kansas State win probability: 71%
Margin (Kansas State − Washington State): 9.0 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Washington State 7 – Kansas State 34 (margin error 18.0, total error 9.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:22 PM | 8.2 | 51.0 | 70% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:24 PM | 8.2 | 50.9 | 70% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:24 PM | 8.1 | 51.0 | 70% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:41 AM | 8.2 | 50.8 | 70% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:01:58 PM | 8.3 | 50.9 | 70% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:44 PM | 8.9 | 51.3 | 71% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:53 PM | 9.0 | 50.9 | 71% |