2026 Week 2 · Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Rutgers @ Boston College
Predicted scoreLean
Rutgers
25.3
Boston College
30.3
Boston College win probability: 62%
Margin (Boston College − Rutgers): 5.0 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Rutgers 21 – Boston College 28 (margin error 2.0, total error 6.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:19 PM | -0.6 | 57.0 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:22 PM | -0.6 | 58.2 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:19 PM | -1.0 | 58.1 | 47% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:48 AM | -0.6 | 58.1 | 48% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:01:57 PM | -0.8 | 58.3 | 48% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:38 PM | -0.6 | 57.8 | 49% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:57 PM | 5.0 | 55.6 | 62% |