2026 Week 1 · Sep 6, 2026, 8:00 PM · Husky Stadium
Washington State @ Washington
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington State
18.8
Washington
30.8
Washington win probability: 78%
Margin (Washington − Washington State): 12.0 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Washington State 10 – Washington 24 (margin error 2.0, total error 15.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:18 PM | 11.8 | 49.9 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:21 PM | 11.9 | 49.7 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:16 PM | 12.0 | 49.8 | 78% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:14 AM | 11.9 | 49.6 | 78% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:01:51 PM | 12.0 | 49.6 | 78% |