2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 10:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
Wyoming @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Wyoming
23.9
Colorado State
25.5
Colorado State win probability: 54%
Margin (Colorado State − Wyoming): 1.5 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Wyoming 13 – Colorado State 35 (margin error 20.5, total error 1.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:06 PM | 1.4 | 49.4 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:18 PM | 1.5 | 49.6 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:07 PM | 1.8 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:28 AM | 1.5 | 49.4 | 54% |