2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 7:30 PM · Nippert Stadium
Boston College @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
Boston College
23.8
Cincinnati
31.8
Cincinnati win probability: 69%
Margin (Cincinnati − Boston College): 8.0 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 55.7 (80% range 32 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:06 PM | 7.9 | 55.5 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:17 PM | 7.9 | 55.5 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:02 PM | 8.0 | 55.7 | 69% |