Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
23.9
Auburn
28.3
Auburn win probability: 61%
Margin (Auburn − Baylor): 4.5 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:06 PM | 4.6 | 52.2 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:16 PM | 4.6 | 52.2 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:04 PM | 4.5 | 52.2 | 61% |