2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 4:45 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium
Kent State @ South Carolina
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
12.0
South Carolina
39.7
South Carolina win probability: 96%
Margin (South Carolina − Kent State): 27.7 (80% range 7 to 49)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 1.00% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.98% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:14 PM | 27.9 | 51.7 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:15 PM | 27.9 | 51.6 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:01 PM | 27.7 | 51.8 | 96% |