2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 4:00 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreLikely
Coastal Carolina
17.3
West Virginia
31.7
West Virginia win probability: 83%
Margin (West Virginia − Coastal Carolina): 14.4 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:18 PM | 14.3 | 49.1 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:15 PM | 14.3 | 49.0 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:25:59 PM | 14.4 | 49.0 | 83% |