2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 4:00 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami (OH)
17.0
Pittsburgh
32.1
Pittsburgh win probability: 84%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Miami (OH)): 15.1 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:13 PM | 14.0 | 48.6 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:15 PM | 15.0 | 49.3 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:00 PM | 15.1 | 49.1 | 84% |