Predicted scoreConfident
UTEP
9.6
Oklahoma
37.8
Oklahoma win probability: 97%
Margin (Oklahoma − UTEP): 28.2 (80% range 9 to 49)
Total: 47.4 (80% range 27 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31 | 1.17% |
| 7 | 31 | 1.05% |
| 7 | 24 | 1.03% |
| 0 | 28 | 1.02% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.00% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:12 PM | 28.3 | 47.4 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:13 PM | 28.3 | 47.3 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:25:53 PM | 28.2 | 47.4 | 97% |