2025 Postseason · Dec 31, 2025, 8:30 PM · Allegiant Stadium (neutral site)

Nebraska @ Utah

Predicted scoreToss-up

Nebraska

22.7

Utah

19.4

Utah win probability: 41%

Margin (Utah − Nebraska): -3.3 (80% range -22 to 16)

Total: 42.1 (80% range 21 to 64)

Actual: Nebraska 22 – Utah 44 (margin error 25.3, total error 23.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.