2025 Postseason · Dec 30, 2025, 7:00 PM · Independence Stadium (neutral site)

Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

Coastal Carolina

24.6

Louisiana Tech

21.1

Louisiana Tech win probability: 41%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Coastal Carolina): -3.6 (80% range -23 to 16)

Total: 45.7 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 14 – Louisiana Tech 23 (margin error 12.6, total error 8.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.