2025 Postseason · Dec 29, 2025, 7:00 PM · Protective Stadium (neutral site)

Georgia Southern @ App State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia Southern

29.1

App State

26.1

App State win probability: 43%

Margin (App State − Georgia Southern): -3.0 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Georgia Southern 29 – App State 10 (margin error 16.0, total error 16.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.