2025 Postseason · Dec 22, 2025, 7:00 PM · Albertsons Stadium (neutral site)

Washington State @ Utah State

Predicted scoreLean

Washington State

34.7

Utah State

28.8

Utah State win probability: 36%

Margin (Utah State − Washington State): -6.0 (80% range -28 to 15)

Total: 63.5 (80% range 38 to 90)

Actual: Washington State 34 – Utah State 21 (margin error 7.0, total error 8.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.