2025 Postseason · Dec 20, 2025, 8:30 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Tulane @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreLikely

Tulane

19.7

Ole Miss

34.6

Ole Miss win probability: 82%

Margin (Ole Miss − Tulane): 14.9 (80% range -6 to 35)

Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Tulane 10 – Ole Miss 41 (margin error 16.1, total error 3.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.