Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami
27.4
Texas A&M
29.6
Texas A&M win probability: 55%
Margin (Texas A&M − Miami): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 57.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Miami 10 – Texas A&M 3 (margin error 9.2, total error 44.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.