2025 Week 15 · Dec 6, 2025, 5:00 PM · AT&T Stadium (neutral site)

BYU @ Texas Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

BYU

23.2

Texas Tech

26.9

Texas Tech win probability: 59%

Margin (Texas Tech − BYU): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: BYU 7 – Texas Tech 34 (margin error 23.4, total error 9.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.