Predicted scoreLean
LSU
20.9
Oklahoma
25.4
Oklahoma win probability: 62%
Margin (Oklahoma − LSU): 4.5 (80% range -14 to 24)
Total: 46.3 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: LSU 13 – Oklahoma 17 (margin error 0.5, total error 16.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.