2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 8:30 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)

Kennesaw State @ Liberty

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kennesaw State

27.1

Liberty

27.5

Liberty win probability: 51%

Margin (Liberty − Kennesaw State): 0.4 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Kennesaw State 48 – Liberty 42 (margin error 6.4, total error 35.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.