2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 5:00 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Colorado @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLean

Colorado

21.6

Kansas State

28.3

Kansas State win probability: 67%

Margin (Kansas State − Colorado): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Colorado 14 – Kansas State 24 (margin error 3.3, total error 12.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.