2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 5:00 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Miami @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLean
Miami
29.3
Pittsburgh
21.5
Pittsburgh win probability: 31%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Miami): -7.8 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Miami 38 – Pittsburgh 7 (margin error 23.2, total error 5.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.97% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.