2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 2:00 AM · Mountain America Stadium

Arizona @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Arizona

24.9

Arizona State

25.6

Arizona State win probability: 52%

Margin (Arizona State − Arizona): 0.6 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Arizona 23 – Arizona State 7 (margin error 16.6, total error 20.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.