Predicted scoreLean
Utah
35.2
Kansas
27.4
Kansas win probability: 32%
Margin (Kansas − Utah): -7.8 (80% range -29 to 14)
Total: 62.6 (80% range 37 to 90)
Actual: Utah 31 – Kansas 21 (margin error 2.2, total error 10.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 35 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.