2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 3:30 AM · Rose Bowl
Washington @ UCLA
Predicted scoreLean
Washington
29.5
UCLA
23.4
UCLA win probability: 35%
Margin (UCLA − Washington): -6.1 (80% range -26 to 14)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Washington 48 – UCLA 14 (margin error 27.9, total error 9.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.