2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 1:00 AM · Nippert Stadium
BYU @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
BYU
30.1
Cincinnati
24.9
Cincinnati win probability: 37%
Margin (Cincinnati − BYU): -5.3 (80% range -25 to 15)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: BYU 26 – Cincinnati 14 (margin error 6.7, total error 15.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.