2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 1:00 AM · Folsom Field
Arizona State @ Colorado
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona State
26.0
Colorado
26.3
Colorado win probability: 51%
Margin (Colorado − Arizona State): 0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Arizona State 42 – Colorado 17 (margin error 25.3, total error 6.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.