2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 9:00 PM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Kansas State @ Utah
Predicted scoreLikely
Kansas State
18.5
Utah
31.1
Utah win probability: 79%
Margin (Utah − Kansas State): 12.6 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Kansas State 47 – Utah 51 (margin error 8.6, total error 48.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.