Predicted scoreLean
Tulane
32.3
Temple
23.8
Temple win probability: 30%
Margin (Temple − Tulane): -8.6 (80% range -29 to 12)
Total: 56.1 (80% range 31 to 82)
Actual: Tulane 37 – Temple 13 (margin error 15.4, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.